Toronto real estate. Heated housing activity throughout 2009 lends little air to bubble theory in the GTA, says RE/MAX

     Despite limited inventory levels in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) in the latter half of the year, double-digit price appreciation failed to materialize in the single-detached housing category in 2009, says RE/MAX Ontario-Atlantic Canada.

     In fact, an in-depth analysis by RE/MAX of 63 districts within the Toronto Real Estate Board found that detached housing values in 27 per cent of districts remained slightly off 2008 levels, while 57 per cent reported price appreciation of less than five per cent in 2009. Sixteen per cent of districts recorded an increase in average price in excess of five per cent. No double-digit gains were noted.

     “There is simply no evidence of a housing bubble,” says Michael Polzler, Executive Vice President, RE/MAX Ontario-Atlantic Canada. “While sales were up considerably over one year ago – and supply was tight in many of the city’s hot pocket areas – the expected surge in average price did not occur. Buyers remained cautious in their pursuit of homeownership – with most unwilling to overpay for the privilege. “

      While one quarter of all TREB districts saw prices in the detached housing category soften in 2009, just over half declined by less than two per cent. Those that saw prices fall by more than two per cent were primarily upper-end neighbourhoods – the vast majority located in the central core – which were slower to rebound once the market regained momentum. By year-end, however, sales in all of these areas posted double-digit growth – a fact that clearly indicates a greater number of transactions at the lower end of the price spectrum. Inventory may have also played a role as sellers held off listing their luxury properties until market conditions improved.

     Leading the GTA in terms of price appreciation was South Pickering (E12) where the average has risen 9.4 per cent to $358,493; Malvern, Hillside, Rouge (E11) takes second place with a 7.3 per cent upswing to $368,095; North Pickering (E13) was ranked third with values climbing 7.2 per cent to $396,973; fourth spot goes to Port Credit (W12) in Mississauga where values have climbed seven per cent to $614,144; and rounding out the top five – the lone downtown Toronto district – was Riverdale, Leslieville (E01) where prices escalated 6.7 per cent to $522,017. Ballantrae, Cedar Valley (N13) ranked sixth with a reported 6.4 per cent increase to $662,268. In seventh place is Richmond Hill – North End (N05) with a 6.3 per cent increase in average price to $574,642. The Applewood, Rathwood neigbhourhoods (W14) in Mississauga ranked eighth in terms of price appreciation, rising 6.1 per cent to $505,994, while Markham (N10) claimed ninth spot with a 5.3 per cent escalation in detached housing values, bringing the average to $510,268. Bathurst Manor, Armour Heights (C06) in the city’s north end secured tenth place with a 5.1 per cent upswing in average price to $597,025.

      The East clearly dominated the top five and affordability factored in heavily, with single-detached homes in both Pickering districts and Malvern, Hillside, Rouge, priced under $400,000. Young families – most buying their first home – were attracted to communities like Riverdale and up-and-coming Leslieville, while move-up buyers looked to Port Credit, which has steadily increased in popularity in recent years.

      “First-time buyers were a driving force throughout much of the year, but their role was most noticeable in early 2009,” says Polzler. “Almost one in every two homes sold was priced under $400,000 in the first quarter of the year. An entirely different picture emerged in the final quarter when just one-third of homes moved under the $400,000 price point.”

     As the move-up segment swelled, so too did demand for more upscale properties across the board. Yet, despite the upswing, average price registered only a small percentage increase. In the central core, for example, where the average price ranges from $572,529 in Don Mills to as high as $1,717,190 in Rosedale, overall values rose one per cent to $919,838, compared to 2008. Unit sales in C-district jumped 31 per cent to close to 4,000 units.

      The number of homes sold in the city’s north end saw the greatest percentage increase at 32 per cent to 8,843 units. Average price in North district, which ranges from $398,864 in Newmarket to $700,499 in King City, rose two per cent overall to $555,616. Housing sales climbed in the west, where values range from $298,136 in Brampton to $790,060 in the Kingsway, by close to 19 per cent to 12,453 units. West district’s average price rose a nominal 1.5 per cent to $467,227. The increase in sales was more moderate in the East End (including Scarborough and Pickering, Ajax), where values range from $325,393 in Bendale, Woburn to $691,128 in the Beach. The number of detached homes sold increased 15 per cent year over year to 6,690. Average price in East Toronto rose 2.6 per cent overall to $400,813.

     “After a dismal start, the stats confirm that 2009 returned to the healthy, upward trajectory that we have followed for much of the last decade,” says Polzler. “We see detached homes continuing on that course in 2010, with moderate gains expected. The detached housing category continues to be a solid gauge of the market’s overall performance, accounting for approximately half of the activity in GTA.”

If you want to know more about Toronto real estate, call sales representative and mortgage agent Alexandre (Alex) Malkhassiants, Right at Home realty,  with all your questions: (416) 723-9383 (cell).

Harmonized Sales Tax ( HTS) : Good News and Bad News

I would like to share the following information with you regarding the New Ontario Harmonized Sales tax which is effective July 1, 2010 (it’s a combination of PST and GST in one – 13% in total)

            It is not going away, so we will have to learn how to deal with the issue and build it into our day-to-day affairs and budget.

• The bad news is that is will increase the cost of certain items ( i.e. gas , utilities and much more below )
• The good news it that it will create credits where there were none before. I.e. In the past, if someone who is running the business had to pay GST on an item , that permitted the individual to claim that GST paid on their return as credit. When it came to PST there was a different protocol; PST could not be claimed as a credit. Under the new HST that will change. Identical to the way GST allows  to claim an input tax credit on items purchased for the purpose of carrying on business, this will now apply to the entire HST.
• In the past there were certain items that were subject to PST or GST alone, now everything will be charged both.
• Where there were rebates before, there will be rebates now.
• As far as real estate concerned the tax will apply to various aspects of the transaction. This will include charges for real estate commission, home inspections, legal services, high ratio mortgage insurance premiums, fire insurance premiums, moving costs, appraisal fees, surveys etc.
• Under the new regime, buying a house where the appliances are included will result in additional tax.

      Gifts from the Government:

• The budget of March 2009 contemplates providing a once only credit to businesses of up to $1000.00 where the business has less than $2,000,000.00 in annual revenues from HST taxable sales.
• Single parents and couples with incomes of less than $160,000.00 will be entitled to a payment of $1,000.00  and finally single individuals earning less than $80,000.00 will be entitled to receive a one time payment of $300
• The budget also provides for annual payments to low-income individuals and families of up to $260.00 with incomes of less than $25,000.00

Alexandre Malkhassiants, Sales Representative & Mortgage Specialist,
Right At Home Realty Inc.,  Real Estate Brokerage
Office: (416) 391-3232
Cell: (416) 723-9383
E-mail: amalkhass@rogers.com
Web site: www.torontogreathomes.com
Toronto real estate market blog: http://torontorealestate.wordpress.com/

Toronto real estate. Canadian housing market sound

Canada’s hot housing market received a clean bill of health from a major Canadian bank Friday, dismissing concerns voiced by the Bank of Canada that consumers may be taking on too much debt.

In a report on house and stock market rallies, economists with CIBC World Markets argue that the central bank’s concerns are exaggerated, even though the bank was justified in raising them.

“Canada is not doomed to see a U.S.-style housing and mortgage blow-up,” wrote CIBC’s chief economist, Avery Shenfeld.

“The lessons for the U.S. were not that an extended period of low rates caused a mortgage and housing blow-up. It was a massive failure to supervise the worst excess of the American mortgage market that caused the trouble.”

Last week, the Bank of Canada called record household debt the top risk facing the country’s financial system, a warning repeated in Toronto earlier this week by the central bank’s governor, Mark Carney.

The central bank did note that the risk to Canada’s banking system was small, but worried that when interest rates rise to normal levels, up to 10 per cent of households could face difficulties in meeting monthly payment requirements.

Fresh data released Friday showed that spending by Canadian households averaged $71,360 last year, two per cent more than in 2007, with shelter representing about 20 per cent of the load.

Others have also expressed concern about consumer debt levels. In a note Friday, Bank of Montreal economist Sal Guatieri said at current rates the debt burdens being piled on by Canadians could reach American and British levels “just before they keeled over.”

CIBC’s Shenfeld and Benjamin Tal say their analysis shows that there is basis for the concern, but there are also critical factors that make the Canadian situation different.

By their calculation, the current $350,000 average selling price for a home in Canada is about seven per cent too high.

But they also say that with housing starts on the rise, thereby increasing the supply, the price of housing in Canada will moderate, not collapse.

And Canadian households are not exposed as their southern neighbours were to a market collapse.

Some have substantial equity in their homes and could downsize. Others, about 40 per cent of mortgage holders, have high debt payments because they are making accelerated pay-downs on principal, which they could suspend.

They note that while mortgage interest rates average about 4.4 per cent, payments as a share of after-tax income are higher – at the level they would be if rates were effectively six per cent.

And “history suggests many will jump into fixed mortgages” once variable rates come under upward pressure.

“The Bank of Canada was justified in raising these concerns, but once you get into the details, some of those threats don’t appear quite as ominous,” Shenfeld explained in an interview.

The CIBC economists agree with Carney that interest rates will rise, likely starting in the second half of next year, but “we don’t see that as endangering a bubble either in the mortgage market or the equity market.”

In a separate analysis, Shenfeld, Peter Buchanan and Krishen Rangasamy, all of CIBC, judged that the equity markets in Toronto still have room to grow even if some analysts believe stocks are overpriced already.

And they predict the Canadian dollar will average $1.05 US next year.

winnipegfreepress

Toronto real estate. TORONTO REAL ESTATE MARKET CONTINUE TO SURPRISE

Perhaps it was those uncharacteristically high temperatures that had homebuyers out in droves in the first two weeks of November. Certainly, they had gotten over the doom and gloom of the first two weeks of last November.

According to the Toronto Real Estate Board, realtors reported 3,666 sales, a staggering 84% up on the same period last year. Prices year-over-year rose a more modest, but still impressive, 10% to hit an average of $415,066.

“Increased interest in ownership housing has been widespread throughout the GTA and across all housing types,” notes TREB president Tom Lebour in a release. “However, it is important to point out that we are now making comparisons to the fall of 2008 when we experienced a marked decline in sales and average price.”

The numbers for year-to-date sales also rose a healthy 11% compared with the same period in 2008, to reach 78,233. The average price for this period was $393,180 a 3% rise over the same period last year.

“Sales and average price in the GTA this winter will be well above levels reported throughout the fourth quarter of 2008 and the first quarter of 2009,” notes Jason Mercer, TREB’s senior manager of market analysis in a release.

Across Canada, sales had increased in the month of October. According to numbers from the Canadian Real Estate Association, home sales activity through the Multiple Listing Service was the highest ever for an October. The Canadian real estate boards reported 42,288 residential sales, a 41.5% hike over the same month last year. The year-to-date total rose to 401,124, a 1.6% increase on the same period last year.

The average sale price in October was $341,079, a 20.7% rise on last year.

“Low interest rates and upbeat consumer confidence continue to release the pent-up demand that built late last year and earlier this year,” notes CREA president Dale Ripplinger in a release. “The release of that pent-up demand has boosted national sales activity to new heights and is drawing down inventories.”

The marked rise in resale housing demand has continued to reduce inventories of unsold homes. In October, MLS had 194,994 homes listed for sale, down 20.8% on the same month last year.

New homes in the GTA’s 905 region have also skyrocketed, with home builders showing a 173% increase in low-rise sales for the month, compared with October 2008.

Activity may have been on the rise in Canada, but south of the border where tentative signs of recovery had been evident, October housing starts and building permit numbers came as a rather nasty shock.

Builders’ sentiment also remained rather gloomy. The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index showing builder confidence in the market for newly built, single-family homes remained unchanged at the low level of 17 in November.

Residential housing starts for last month, released by the U.S. Department of Housing, plunged an unexpected 10.6% from September, coming in at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 529,000. That’s 30.7% down on the October 2008 rate. The rate for single-family housing starts in October was 476,000, a 6.8% decrease from September. Multiple family units also fell 15.2% month-over- month in October to reach 89,000 units. These numbers bring construction to the lowest level since April.

Building permits in October, required long before construction begins, were also down. Overall permits fell 4% from September to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 552,000. This is 24.3% down from October last year. The single- family permits component inched down 0.2% month-over-month to reach a rate of 451,000 in October. However, permits for multiple units were up 6% month-over- month to 123,000.

Analysts found some positives.

“There will still be people buying homes, either for the first time or moving up, thanks to the extended and expanded government tax credit,” notes Jennifer Lee, economist, manager at BMO Capital Markets. “But in the meantime, it will take a while before residential construction begins to contribute meaningfully to growth.”

If you want to know more about Toronto real estate, call sales representative and mortgage agent Alexandre (Alex) Malkhassiants, Right at Home realty,  with all your questions: (416) 723-9383 (cell).

Toronto real estate. Healthy Toronto housing market seen in 2010

Toronto’s housing market will stay healthy next year as new home groundbreakings in Canada’s most populous city jump even as existing home sales cool, said the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.

The federal government agency expects a 26-percent rise in housing starts next year to 36,140 units.

But existing home sales are expected to dip to 78,000 in 2010 from 82,000 this year. Still, CMHC expects average prices to rise by 5 percent, which is in line with the annual average for this decade.

The agency said that while overall demand for home ownership is expected to moderate next year, households with stable employment will take advantage of improved affordability.

Housing has been a rare bright spot as the Canadian economy struggles to emerge from recession. Toronto has seen an upswing in housing activity in recent months, helped by low mortgage rates.

The Bank of Canada cut interest rates to a record low this year and conditionally pledged to keep them there until at least the end of the first half of 2010.

Toronto real estate: Variable mortgage rates can save you money

Fixed mortgage rates may help you feel secure in your budgeting, but the Bank of Montreal says the more volatile variable rate mortgages will save you money in the long run.

A new report from the bank shows that, over the past 30 years, variable-rate mortgages have been more cost-effective about 82 per cent of the time.

That may come as a surprise to some after studies have shown many Canadians prefer a fixed-rate mortgage.

A fixed rate locks the borrower into a set interest rate for a certain period of time.

That gives many borrowers peace of mind knowing how much money to set aside each month for their mortgage payment.

Variable rates change along with interest-rate moves.

BMO said the Bank of Canada’s overnight lending rate is at its lowest possible point now, which could mean there are fewer benefits to a variable rate in the foreseeable future.

BMO highlighted two historical periods when fixed rates were considered beneficial — in the late 1970s and late 1980s — and both were just before interest rates started rising again.

The bank added that the current interest environment is similar to both of these periods.

“Short-term rates are at extreme lows, and pressure is likely to build for higher rates in the year ahead,” said deputy chief economist Doug Porter in the report.

“The question of whether to lock in to a longer-term fixed mortgage rate or stay in a variable rate has become an increasingly complex and important issue.”

Canada has been in a long-term declining rate environment since the early 1980s, the bank suggested.

As a result, the spread between five-year fixed mortgages and variable mortgages has been pushed wider in recent years and is now near an all-time high.

If you want to know more about mortgages call Alex Malkhassiants, mortgage agent with Centim Inc, at (416) 723-9383 (cell).

Younger Canadians feel prepared to buy a first home

While homeowners of all ages agree that purchasing a house is a solid long term investment, there is a marked difference in today’s 18-34 year old first time home buyers  actions and attitudes as compared to older generations aged 55+ when they were first time buyers of the same age.

Young Canadians aged 18-34 are more likely to feel they are financially ready to buy a house than their parents and grandparents were when they were purchasing their first home. What is motivating this belief? The TD Canada Trust Generational Homeownership Study reveals a trend by 18-34 year olds towards purchasing older homes and a significant increase in young homebuyers who are relying on financial assistance from family to make their home purchase a reality.

When asked what prompted them to consider buying their first home, just over half of younger Canadians (51%) said they felt financially ready compared to 37% of older Canadians 55+ when they were thinking of buying their first home. However, over a third of younger Canadians 18-34 (36%) said they could not have afforded their first home without help from family (compared to 16% of those 55+), and 27% said that they received money as a gift or borrowed from family/friends to put towards the purchase of their first home (compared to only 10% of those 55+).

When today’s Canadians 55+ bought their first home, paying off their mortgage was a top priority; more important than it is to today’s younger homebuyers. Today, less than half of young Canadian adults (49%) agree that paying off their mortgage is a first priority, compared to 64% of Canadians over 55.But for Canadians across all generations, their home is their biggest investment. Eighty-eight per cent of Canadian adults 18-34, 87% of Canadians 35-54 and 78% of 55+ all agreed that their first home was an investment for the future. Sixty-four per cent of younger Canadian adults 18-34 said that they put all their savings into their first home compared to 62% of Canadians 55+ and 54% of Canadians 35-54.

The research revealed that when it comes to getting a mortgage, young adults tend to shop around more than their older counterparts did. Sixty-two per cent of older Canadians were loyal to their own bank and received financing where they were already a customer, compared to 36% of younger homeowners who were more likely to shop around and take recommendations.

“There are so many different options available now, and easier access to information with the use of the internet, that it’s no wonder today’s first time homebuyer shops around a bit more,” added Wisniewski. “It’s a great idea to look around and see what’s available. 30 years ago when people were looking for financing, they usually had limited choices. Now there are many options to explore with your bank including a variety of fixed rate mortgages, variable rate mortgages, and even green mortgages for buyers who want to lessen their footprint on the environment.” tradingmarkets.com

Banks reaching out to help new Canadians buy a home

      In the past, many immigrants to Canada came by sea – often landing at Pier 21 in Halifax. Nowadays, as a new Canadian, you are more than likely to touch down at Pearson International Airport after a journey of several hours rather than days or weeks.

    Either way, once on the ground, making a financial start has always been a tough route. Thankfully, today’s evolution of technology makes it easier to prove your creditworthiness in Canada, and to qualify for a mortgage in order to buy your first home here.

    “One of the key things … is credit. You have to find some sort of credit history,” says Jim Rawson, regional manager of Invis mortgage brokerage firm in Toronto. “With the Internet, with easy access to information, we can now check credit from just about anywhere, so we can get credit histories much easier than we could in the past.”

    As with any financial agreement, your credit status will determine how much you can borrow.

    “There are different kinds of qualifications, depending on how long you’ve been here and depending on whether you have a job or not, whether you’re landed immigrants or here on work permits,” Mr. Rawson says. “But there are several lenders that have new-immigrant policies.”

    Every country has its own customs and laws when it comes to home purchasing, and Canada is no different. Colleagues and friends can be a good source of recommendations for trusted accredited real estate agents, lawyers and mortgage brokers to guide you through the process.

     Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. has also produced The Newcomer’s Guide to Canadian Housing, which includes a section on what to consider when buying a home in Canada – right from scoping out a location, to the documents required, to budgeting for the many expenses involved, and the process of making an offer.

    As well as the usual costs attached to home purchasing, as a new immigrant, you will need to add on the additional time and expense of obtaining proof of your immigration and financial status and maybe even fees for wiring money from your country of origin to cover the purchase deposit.

     Buying a home will likely be your largest financial commitment when you come to Canada, but it may not necessarily be the most complex purchase.

    “Getting a mortgage for a house was easier than getting a car loan,” says Graeme Morton, who emigrated from Scotland to Guelph. “I had to get my colleague to counter-sign to get the car loan – which was less than $10,000.

    “And as for cellphones, they asked for so much proof as to who we were it was unreal. Obviously, houses are the less portable of the three!”

    If you do not have a credit history, then financial institutions with specific programs for immigrants, such as HSBC and Scotiabank, may help.

    “We have a program, where, even before they establish their Canadian credit history, new immigrants who are willing to put down a 30% downpayment will most likely be approved for 70% of their home purchase,” says David Kuo, vice- president, retail branch network for HSBC, Ontario East.

     Mr. Rawson at Invis says that in the past, immigrants could have been required to have a larger deposit to secure a mortgage.

    “If you’re not landed [a permanent resident] you might be looking for a larger deposit,” Mr. Rawson says. “But the insurers CMHC and Genworth have pretty decent new-immigrant policies that [allow for] high-ratio financing.” kelowna.com

    If you want to know more about Toronto real estate, call sales representative and mortgage agent Alexandre (Alex) Malkhassiants with all your questions: (416) 723-9383 (cell).

Canada housing sales hit record in July

July housing sales across the country were the best on record for the month and the largest year-over year increase in two years, said the Canadian Real Estate Association.

The Ottawa-based group, which represents about 100 boards across the country, said there were 50,270 units sold via the multiple listing service last month. That’s an 18.2 per cent jump from a year ago. It also marked the first time sales had topped 50,000 in July.

 ”The difference in the resale housing market now, compared to the beginning of the year, is night and day and nowhere is this more evident than in the west,” said Dale Ripplinger, president of CREA. “Homebuyers recognize that interest rates and prices have bottomed out, and are taking advantage of excellent affordability before prices and interest rates move higher.”

A five-year fixed-rate mortgage, the most popular product among consumers, is still available for under four per cent at some financial institutions. Variable rate mortgages, tied to prime, remain in the three per cent range and are not expected to rise until June. The Bank of Canada has pledged not to change its lending rate until then — but it is not an ironclad guarantee.

The low rates seem to have worked and have the housing market even hotter than it was in 2007, a record year. July sales in 2009 were 3.9 per cent above the previous July high set in 2007.

It has been a stunning reversal for a real estate market that had almost ground to a halt over the winter. MLS sales on a seasonally adjusted basis have risen for six straight months and are up 61.2 per cent off the decade-low set in January. Sales are only off 1.4 per cent from the May, 2007 peak.

The strength in the market is being felt right across the country. Vancouver sales last were up 90 per cent from a year ago to lead the pack. Toronto sales climbed 28 per cent from a year ago and Edmonton sales rose 28 per cent during the same period.

With demand strong in the country’s highest-priced markets, it is skewing average price but in the opposite way from what was happening when the market was slumping. The average price of a home sold on MLS last month rose 7.6 per cent from a year ago to $326,832.

Part of the pressure on prices is coming from a dearth of supply. New listings in July were down 13 per cent from a year ago to 73,444. It marked the seventh monthly year-over-year decline in new listings.

The overall supply of homes for sale on the MLS was down to 219,982 at the end of July, a 12.5 per cent decrease from 2008. Based on present activity, there is only 4.4 months of housing inventory in the mark. That’s a sharp contrast to the 12.8 months of inventory available in January.

“Home sales through the MLS systems in July provide clear evidence that sentiment about making major purchases continues to improve,” said Gregory Klump, chief economist with CREA. “Activity may level out over the rest of the year as home prices and mortgage lending interest rates creep higher. The number of new listings coming onto the market is down from last year and the rebound in sales activity is paring inventories, so the number months of inventory is on the wane. These trends are supporting average prices.”

vancouversun.com

Celebrities and real estate. New home for Slumdog child star

The makers of the hit movie Slumdog Millionaire have bought a new house for one of the two child stars discovered in Mumbai’s slums.

The purchase of a 23m, one-bedroom apartment for the family of Azharuddin Mohammed Ismail, 10, was finalised on Monday, said Nirja Mattoo, who helps oversee a trust set up by the filmmakers to help Azharuddin and his 9- year-old co-star Rubina Ali.

’ “They can move in,” Mattoo said, adding that the trust planned to deliver the keys on Thursday.

Both children lost their homes last month when authorities demolished parts of their slum.

Mattoo said the trust was actively looking for a new home for Rubina.

Ownership of the first apartment, which cost about 2.5-million rupees (50000), will be transferred from the trust to Azharuddin when he turns 18, provided he completes school, Mattoo said.

“He has to complete an education. We are very clear about that,” she said. However, she declined to say what would happen to the property if he did not finish school.

The apartment is located in Santa Cruz West, a suburb of Mumbai just north of the slum where the two children now live.

The government has promised to give both of them new apartments, but the families have resisted, saying the government flats are too far away from their neighbours and school.